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Geography 257                            Topics in Climatology                            Fall 2009

 

This semesterÕs topic:  The interhemispheric gradient in tropical climate and climate change

 

Instructor: Prof. John Chiang

 

Time: Tuesdays 2p-4p, 55A McCone.  NOTE:  First meeting will be Tue 9/1 at **2PM**.

 

Synopsis: The goal for this semester is to explore how useful the concept of the Ôinterhemispheric gradientÕ is in characterizing tropical climate and climate change.  Interhemispheric thermal gradients come up in many different contexts, but is probably most well known in Tropical Atlantic Variability (TAV) where interannual-decadal variations in sea surface temperature (SST) is characterized by Ôdipole-likeÕ behavior.  However, they also appear in many other contexts e.g.: SST patterns associated with Sahel rainfall variations, and the Òmeridional modeÕ variation in the tropical Pacific.  In paleoclimate they are most prominent in climate impacts of thermohaline shutdown scenarios.  And of course, they are also implicated in control of the seasonal cycle of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. 

     In this seminar, we will review various climate variability and change scenarios where the interhemispheric gradient is prominent, and in the process ask two basic questions i) where do the interhemispheric gradients come from; and ii) why do the tropics respond to it, and how does it respond?  An interesting avenue to explore with the former question on forcing is whether or not interhemispheric gradients are relevant in future climate change, in particular given the large hemispheric differences in aerosol forcings, and also the hemispheric asymmetric nature of warming due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases.

 

Website (schedule updated weekly): http://www.atmos.berkeley.edu/~jchiang/Geog257/geog257.html

 

Prerequisites: Atmospheric physics and dynamics at least at the level of the upper division 'Atmospheric Physics and Dynamics' course (GeogC139 / EPS181); or permission from instructor.

 

Class Schedule (red is preliminary and subject to change)

 

Week and date

Topic

Reading

1 (9/1)

Logistics

 

2 (9/8)

Tropical surface winds and SST

[Lindzen and Nigam, 1987]; also skim [Chiang et al., 2001]

3 (9/15)

No class – JC away

 

4 (9/22)

Tropical Atlantic variability

[Xie and Carton 2004]; also skim [Chiang and Vimont, 2004]

5 (9/29)

Seasonal cycle of ITCZ/cold tongue – seasonal cycle

[Chang, 1994]; also skim [Chiang et al., 2008]

6 (10/6)

ITCZ/cold tongue – mean state

[Xie and Philander, 1994]

7 (10/12) **NOTE change of day

Why is the ITCZ north of the equator?

[Philander et al., 1996]; also skim [Takahashi and Battisti, 2007]

8 (10/20)

Subtropical Anticyclones and Summer Monsoons

Rodwell and Hoskins 2001

9 (10/27)

NH cooling and ITCZ

[Broccoli et al., 2006; Chiang and Bitz, 2005]; also skim [Broccoli et al. 2006]

10 (11/3)

Onset of the cold tongue

[Philander and Fedorov, 2003]

11(11/10)

Interhemispheric gradients and the tropical climate - dynamics

[Kang et al., 2009]

12(11/17)

Climate response to AMOC shutdown

[Cheng et al., 2007]

13(11/24)

Groups meeting talk – Rei Ueyama (U Washington)

 

14 (12/1)

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

Kerr (2005); and [Knight et al., 2005; Knight et al., 2006]

15 (12/8)

Aerosols and tropical rainfall

[Rotstayn and Lohmann, 2002]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Broccoli, A. J., et al. (2006), Response of the ITCZ to Northern Hemisphere cooling, Geophysical Research Letters, 33(1).

Chang, P. (1994), A Study of the Seasonal Cycle of Sea-Surface Temperature in the Tropical Pacific-Ocean Using Reduced Gravity Models, Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 99(C4), 7725-7741.

Cheng, W., et al. (2007), Adjustment of the global climate to an abrupt slowdown of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, in Past and Future Changes of the OceanÕs Meridional Overturning Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts, edited by A. Schmittner, et al., American Geophysical Union.

Chiang, J. C. H., et al. (2001), Relative roles of elevated heating and surface temperature gradients in driving anomalous surface winds over tropical oceans, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58(11), 1371-1394.

Chiang, J. C. H., and D. J. Vimont (2004), Analogous Pacific and Atlantic meridional modes of tropical atmosphere-ocean variability, Journal of Climate, 17(21), 4143-4158.

Chiang, J. C. H., and C. M. Bitz (2005), Influence of high latitude ice cover on the marine Intertropical Convergence Zone, Climate Dynamics, 25(5), 477-496.

Chiang, J. C. H., et al. (2008), Interhemispheric thermal gradient and tropical Pacific climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 35.

Kang, S. M., et al. (2009), The Tropical Response to Extratropical Thermal Forcing in an Idealized GCM: The Importance of Radiative Feedbacks and Convective Parameterization, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66(9), 2812-2827.

Knight, J. R., et al. (2005), A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 32(20).

Knight, J. R., et al. (2006), Climate impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Geophysical Research Letters, 33(17).

Lindzen, R. S., and S. Nigam (1987), On the role of sea-surface temperature gradients in forcing low-level winds and convergence in the tropics, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 44, 2440-2458.

Philander, S. G., and A. V. Fedorov (2003), Role of tropics in changing the response to Milankovich forcing some three million years ago, Paleoceanography, 18(2), -.

Philander, S. G. H., et al. (1996), Why the ITCZ is mostly north of the equator, Journal of Climate, 9(12), 2958-2972.

Rotstayn, L. D., and U. Lohmann (2002), Tropical rainfall trends and the indirect aerosol effect, Journal of Climate, 15(15), 2103-2116.

Takahashi, K., and D. S. Battisti (2007), Processes controlling the mean tropical pacific precipitation pattern. Part I: The Andes and the eastern Pacific ITCZ, Journal of Climate, 20(14), 3434-3451.

Xie, S. P., and S. G. H. Philander (1994), A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model of Relevance to the Itcz in the Eastern Pacific, Tellus Series a-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 46(4), 340-350.

 

Xie, SP and J. Carton (1994), Tropical Atlantic Variability: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Impacts.  In EarthÕs Climate: The Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction eds. Wang, Xie, and Carton.  pp 121-142